How did the Monterey Peninsula market perform in 2025?

Monterey Peninsula Real Estate Market: 2025 Recap

  • Mark Peterson
  • January 22, 2026

Monterey Peninsula | 2025 Annual Market Report

How Did the Monterey Peninsula
Real Estate Market Perform in 2025?

 

2025 ended with median prices relatively unchanged from 2024. Luxury and affluent market segments outperformed. Growing inventory met stable demand, producing a flat year overall. Here is the full picture from the Bambace Peterson 2025 Annual Market Report.

2025 Monterey Peninsula Market: Key Takeaways

 
Category 2025 Result
Overall Market Direction Flat year-over-year. 2025 closely mirrored 2024 across standard indicators.
Median Sale Prices Relatively unchanged across most Monterey Peninsula markets vs 2024
Inventory Trend Growing inventory; demand remained relatively stable; net effect: flat sales volume
Luxury Segment Outperformed — affluent buyers benefited from significant stock market wealth gains
More Affordable Segment Underperformed — more impacted by inflation, affordability, and employment concerns
H1 2025 Strong buyer demand early; stalled by political and economic uncertainty in spring
H2 2025 Recovery: stock markets hit new highs, interest rates declined, buyer psychology shifted
Bambace Peterson Volume 44 transaction sides completed across the Monterey Peninsula in 2025
Markets Covered Carmel, Pebble Beach, Pacific Grove, Monterey, Carmel Valley, Golf Communities, Hwy 68 Corridor

Market data from the Bambace Peterson 2025 Annual Market Report. Verify specific figures against current MLS before advising clients.

Buying or Selling in 2026?

The Right Move Starts with the Right Data

The 2025 market sets the context for 2026 decisions. Whether you are timing a listing or entering as a buyer, Bambace Peterson provides property-specific market analysis before any decision is made.

Compass Acquires Anywhere Real Estate: January 2026

 

Finalized on January 9, 2026, the Compass acquisition of Anywhere Real Estate creates one of the largest real estate networks in the world. The combined entity, now Compass International Holdings, brings together over 20 brands, across 120 markets, with over 5,000 staff and 340,000 agents.

Compass International Holdings now includes Coldwell Banker, Sotheby's International Realty, Christie's International Real Estate, Compass, Corcoran, @properties, Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate, CENTURY 21, and ERA brands. This is comparable to how luxury holding companies like LVMH (Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Givenchy) or Kering (Gucci, Yves Saint Laurent, Balenciaga) operate — individual brands maintaining distinct identities under shared infrastructure and innovation.

Bambace Peterson joined Compass in 2018, becoming one of the first teams to launch the Monterey Peninsula Compass chapter. The acquisition expands our network reach globally while our local focus on the Monterey Peninsula remains unchanged. As part of the world's largest real estate network, we are more connected than ever to assist clients with real estate guidance and connections across all markets.

Monterey Peninsula Sales Volumes: 2025 Recap

 

Growing inventory, similar demand — relatively flat sales

Monterey Peninsula 2025 sales volume chart — Bambace Peterson Annual Market Report Monterey Peninsula 2025 market data — Bambace Peterson Annual Market Report

In 2025, the Monterey Peninsula market started the year with strong buyer demand, then faced headwinds from political and economic uncertainty that mounted in early spring. Activity slowed across both listings and offers during this period.

In mid to late summer, stock markets rebounded to hit new highs and interest rates began a sustained decline, initiating a shift in the psychology of both buyers and sellers that continued into year-end. National consumer confidence data showed a significant divide between affluent and less affluent households, and this played out directly in market segments.

The result: more expensive markets powered by increasing demand from affluent buyers seeing substantial wealth gains performed better than more affordable markets. Across the peninsula, median house prices were relatively unchanged from 2024.

Market Report Sub-Areas

 

The 2025 Annual Market Report covers the following Monterey Peninsula micro-markets, each broken into sub-segments to reflect neighborhood-specific values:

Carmel West (93921) Carmel East Carmel Highlands Pebble Beach (5 MLS regions) Pacific Grove (5 segments) Monterey (5 segments) Carmel Valley (4 segments) Golf Communities Highway 68 Corridor

Contact Bambace Peterson for the full sub-area breakdown specific to your neighborhood.

Bambace Peterson Team: 2025 in Review

 

44 transaction sides completed to help clients across the Monterey Peninsula

Bambace Peterson 2025 transaction map — Monterey Peninsula real estate sales

We were fortunate to work with great families across the Monterey Peninsula in 2025 on both buying and selling goals. In the spirit of maximizing client outcomes, we collaborated on 5 of these 44 transactions with other agents to best meet our clients' specific needs.

Collaboration is a major focus continuing into 2026. It has produced our strongest results and is behind our biggest listing ever, which we will be announcing in the coming weeks.

Frequently Asked Questions

 

How did the Monterey Peninsula real estate market perform in 2025?

The 2025 Monterey Peninsula market was broadly flat year-over-year, closely mirroring 2024 across standard performance indicators. The first half of the year started with strong buyer demand before political and economic uncertainty in spring slowed activity. The second half saw recovery as stock markets reached new highs and interest rates declined, shifting buyer and seller psychology. Median sale prices across most Monterey Peninsula markets ended the year relatively unchanged from 2024.

Did home prices increase or decrease on the Monterey Peninsula in 2025?

Across most Monterey Peninsula markets, median home prices were relatively unchanged from 2024. The luxury segment, particularly Pebble Beach and upper Carmel, performed better than more affordable markets. Affluent buyers benefiting from substantial stock market wealth gains maintained demand in the high-end segment, while more affordable price points were more sensitive to inflation, affordability concerns, and employment uncertainty.

What happened to the Pebble Beach real estate market in 2025?

Pebble Beach, as a luxury enclave with permanently constrained supply, is covered across five MLS regions in the Bambace Peterson 2025 Annual Market Report. The luxury and affluent segment generally outperformed more affordable markets nationally and locally in 2025, driven by increasing wealth from stock market gains among high-net-worth buyers. Pebble Beach active listings in 2026 range from $3.3M to $57.5M+, with the market entering the new year in a position of growing inventory and stable luxury demand. Contact Bambace Peterson for the Pebble Beach-specific sub-area breakdown.

Is 2026 a good time to buy a home on the Monterey Peninsula?

The 2025 market environment, combined with the interest rate declines that began in mid-2025 and continued into 2026, has created conditions that are generally more favorable for buyers than the aggressive 2021 to 2022 cycle. Growing inventory gives buyers more options, and the psychological shift that began in mid-2025 means sellers are approaching pricing more realistically than they were during the spring 2025 slowdown. That said, Monterey Peninsula luxury inventory remains structurally constrained, and properly priced properties in Pebble Beach and Carmel continue to attract strong offers. A buyer consultation with Bambace Peterson will provide property-specific guidance.

What is the Compass and Anywhere real estate acquisition?

Compass finalized the acquisition of Anywhere Real Estate on January 9, 2026, creating Compass International Holdings. The combined company includes more than 20 real estate brands — among them Coldwell Banker, Sotheby's International Realty, Christie's International Real Estate, CENTURY 21, and ERA — operating across 120 markets with over 340,000 agents. Bambace Peterson joined Compass in 2018 and will continue operating from Carmel-by-the-Sea with the same local focus, now supported by the world's largest real estate network.

What is the Monterey Peninsula real estate market outlook for 2026?

The psychology shift that began in mid-2025 with stock market gains and declining interest rates is still developing as 2026 opens. Inventory has been growing across the peninsula, which benefits buyers. The luxury segment enters 2026 with favorable conditions: affluent demand remains relatively stable, supply in Pebble Beach and Carmel is structurally limited, and the Compass International Holdings network provides Bambace Peterson buyers and sellers with expanded off-market access globally. The 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and 2027 U.S. Open preparations are also generating activity in the Pebble Beach real estate community specifically.

Make Your Next Move With Confidence

Bambace Peterson completed 44 transaction sides across the Monterey Peninsula in 2025. Whether you are planning to buy, sell, or simply understand your position in the 2026 market, we provide the data and local expertise to guide every decision.

Work With Us

We love working with people and we are honored to be trusted with important life and financial decisions. We understand that buying or selling a property is not just a transaction; it's a significant milestone in our clients' lives.  That's why we prioritize building strong relationships and providing personalized experiences.

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